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Showing posts with label Indian Economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Indian Economy. Show all posts

Monday, July 24, 2023

Indian economy continues to miss the golden opportunities

We need people who  have enough bandwidth, think in correct frequency, know and understand the immense potential and also seriously try to harvest the potential through contextually relevant connections. 

I am not trying to praise or downplay the talents here in India.

The problem here is multi-fold which cannot be either over generalized or simplified or amplified which is of no use.

Fortunately for India there are unexploited golden opportunities for enormous economic activities and growth in multiple verticals not because of the government but despite the government. Here the individual entrepreneurial spirit is high.

These opportunities have emerged  because globally many economies are shrinking, some struggling and a few silently sinking with recessions, inflations and in some cases various activities have got rusted after being rested for two years of pandemic.

However, the Indian economy continues to miss the golden opportunities.

There are failures on major fronts all of which get masked due to lack of sensible debate in any forum of any political party, each one having its own pet ideology or protected dynasty or pampered voters.

Actual employment is low.

Disparities are high.

Liquidity crisis is heavy.

Borrowing is on the raise.

Import bill is big, the worst part is with China.

Both media project​s bad image besides some parts of the real security crisis, can create uneasiness among FIIs. 

Political differences spill onto even overall infrastructure development.

MSMEs which have taken a hit due to COVID hibernation have woken up to face the cold shouldering by the lenders.

Politicians, in most countries,  know only short term remedies and band aid treatments, but the important institutions and educated technocrats too fall into that trap. 

They don't bother to create an ecosystem for any activity knowing well the stark reality of the impact of certain important products, for example semi - conductor industries. Now they are talking of collaboration. It will be merely Taiwan's technology of vital aspects. It will be used as an application or part of equipment manufactured in India by Taiwanese for the world. Taiwan will always be sandwiched between the US- China duel.

The failure of the Indian economy, though at present doing well, is due to various geopolitical factors and also because  for a change the political dispensation is  focusing on creating quasi- business friendly atmosphere with as usual excessive bureaucratic blocks and  regulatory overkill meant more to selectively harass than to ensure strict compliance. These combined with frequent state elections when politics takes precedence over everything else and the entire system is indifferent to anarchy and courts feel anarchic behaviour is right to freedom of expression. 

So,  even ministers who start to work sincerely are forced to keep their work in abeyance and governance takes a back seat due to these elections and major policy decisions are put on the back burner due to anarchic protests and dissents. 

Brainstorming in Indian institutions is spitting catchy jargons, sensational slogans, verbal diarrhea and mental masturbation of copied concepts and no original idea based on ground realities. 

No wonder, of late, write up like the following are popping up.

In 2023, 6500 HNIs will leave India. 

7500 HNIs left India in 2022. 

6In 2018, India was third after Russia and China in terms of the number of HNIs migrating to other countries. This is a disturbing trend.

What happens when you earn​ upwards of 75-80 lakhs per annum?

You leave India. Or you try to leave India. Not because you are any less patriotic but because it makes more sense to leave than stay. Hear me out.

I know about 20 people who have left India in last 1 decade.…

Wednesday, December 25, 2019

Indian Economy's unique growth possibilities


                     20 points to GRASP and where ‘U’ is obvious

Ground Reality Of Undeniable  Performances of India
Revenue Emerges Vastly Everywhere Nicely Using and Employing resources of nature and human  beings
ACE of undeniable facts Approximate Conservative Estimates
SOP of leaders Sincerely Offer Policy framework of
Proper plans, policies, processes, procedures towards progress.

1.     Undeniably India has a population of 130 plus crores

2.     Undeniably all of them eat and drink something at least 3 times a day which means feeding 500 crore mouths. Fabulous Food Business.

3.     Undeniably all of them wear something to cover their physical frame each having at least a pair of dress which means a market of 260 crore plus  dresses. Gigantic Garment Business.

4.     Undeniably all of them stay somewhere at least in a thatched hut which means 130 crore plus dwelling units. Huge Housing/Construction Business.

5.     Undeniably at least 75% of them wear some footwear which means 100 plus crore footwear. Formidable Footwear Business.

6.     Undeniably at least 80% of them move around through some mode of transport from bicycle to planes which means transport facility for 100 crore plus people. Massive Mobility Business.

7.     Undeniably at least 30% are actively employed and almost 80% are working or doing some business which means multitude of activities by and for 100 crore plus people. Enormous Employment Business.

8.     Undeniably at least 30% populations is undergoing some literacy, education, skill development etc which put together is an industry for 40 crore plus people.
Excellent Education Business.

9.     Undeniably at least some 60 % of the population undergoes some medical treatment or takes some medicines. It is again a 70 plus crore consumer. Humungous Health care Business.


10.  Undeniably at least 25% are engaged in some sports which means 40 plus crore people involved sports. Substantial  Sports Business.


11.  Undeniably at least 25 % are actively involved in some entertainment activity or media business  and at least another 75% watching or consuming or paying for these entertainments which means overall 130 crore plus involved in or with  entertainment and media. Mighty Media and Entertainment Business.

12.  Undeniably at least 75% of the population has Insurance and bank accounts so 100 crore plus financial services industry. Far reaching Financial services Business.

13.  Undeniably at least 50% of the population uses some furniture and interiors. So, furniture and interior industry supplying to 65 crore people. Incredible Interior and Fantastic Furniture Business.

14.  Undeniably at least 70% of the population uses some electronic device so it is business of consumption involving 100 crore plus. Extensive Electronic Business.

15.  Undeniably at least 60% of the population cooks something, refrigerates some items. So, it is a 75 crore consumers of gas, stoves and kitchen utensils. Huge Home needs Business.

16.  Undeniably at least 60% of the population takes some pilgrimage, visits places of worship of various religions. So, that is another industry involving services for 80 crore people. Rewarding Religious Business.

17.  Undeniably at least 30% of the population goes on tours and travels either within the country or overseas so that is another industry requiring services for 40 plus crore travelers. Tremendous Tourism Business.

18.  Undeniably at least 80% of the population uses some sanitation products be it soap, washing powder, floor cleaning liquid etc. It is another 100 crore plus consumption industry. Sumptuous Sanitation Industry.

19.  Undeniably at least 5% of the population gets married every year which is 7 crore people roughly. Wide and wealthy Wedding activities Business.

20.  Undeniably at least 80% of the populations celebrates lot of festivals which is 100 plus crore people celebrating festivals which involves extensive purchases and shopping of many items. Fatty Festival Business.






Sunday, October 25, 2015

Indian Economic Growth story under NDA



Indian Economic Growth story under NDA



Indians are known for their unloving criticism or uncritical love; of late India is known for too many arm chair critics and excessive analysts who question every action done with good intention especially if those arm chairs critics or their lobby are not getting any exclusive benefits and they are not able to explain or fit what is happening into definitions that they already know. 
You are correct we, I mean India, is doing well under the given circumstances. I wish you had used million shades instead of 100 shades.
Come back at least mentally to Ranganathan street and see the shades of blouses in a single color, does not the evaluation of economy of a country as large and as plural as India needs more shades.
Economics, like life and all its many other domains, is not something that is static to fit into existing or known models of straight jacket definitions alone. It is more of freakonomics.
So whether it is growth story or any other story there are certain fundamentals which need to be very carefully handled namely perception, proper evaluation and projection of pertinent data.
Read this when you have time