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Monday, August 21, 2023

Macroeconomics

Excellent interview and important presentation worth watching though it may sound like farfetched conspiracy theory.

 

With my frugal sources of information access and limited reading, less knowledge and much less understanding, I could still, infer, some vital aspects of the foot prints of global economy  combined with geopolitical manoeuvres, a deadly cocktail that has its toxic tentacles with a huge army of well paid executives, operating in all directions, in every place on the globe , at multiple levels manifesting varying degrees of influence with a very well maintained secrecy.

 

Macroeconomics has always held my interest and intrigued me as well. Microeconomics merely stretches from our kitchen to the street corner shopping mall or some online offers.

 

However, unfortunately, in college curriculum, in our days we hardly studied anything, it was all about fundamentals of economics, and of course, certain fundamentals in any subject do not change and it hardly allowed us to wander freely to learn about the various dimensions, dynamics of each dimensions and the evolving outcome, at least , a prediction of possible outcomes as a result of interactions among these dynamics and delve more in depth about any subject.

 

Unfortunately, the world of academics is overcrowded by lovers of fundamentals who make you think as if economics is all about a few well-defined blocks of activity, not even a Venn diagram of multitude of contributory and concomitant factors. However, when we start approaching the subject of economics also, through reading unorthodox approaches we realise that economics is more of a multi-function spirograph or kaleidoscope creating designs of colourful pieces of broken glasses. This must give us clarity that most of our economic activities of commerce, trade and finances are mere passing clouds, and the real magnitude of macroeconomics is beyond the scope any normal theory or concept-based operations about which most of us engage in debates with varying degrees of ignorance.

 

Even when we arrive to this level of perception we realize that the puzzle of the maze is not yet  over, it goes beyond commonly known histories, politics, national and international organisations, there is a much deeper core that manipulates both macroeconomy and geopolitics beyond the façade of  theories, concepts, doctrines, political ideologies, national and international organisations etc, it is the DEEP STATE which really moves the coins on the chess board of geopolitics and macroeconomics. 

The impact of its manifestations are like the unnoticed tremors that keep happening always too deep beneath our feet but felt only when it explodes on the surface as a massive earthquake.

 

I would like to give a list of books on economics for better learning and greater understanding of both inevitable fundamentals and the funda of knowing the unorthodox dynamics of macroeconomics. I felt like writing this after listening to, of late a few good programs in PGURUS.

https://www.youtube.com/live/vqGMGk93scE?feature=share

Worth listening to the full episode to know the whole gamut of deep state and how its interlocking system protects self-interests of its club members but at the same time they can choose to create jolts to economies anywhere anytime at will.

Till date it has wielded its power without any disturbance, but can it go on for too long and how long. I was hoping that Covid crisis would change the status quo of this club members but as I said earlier their tentacles are spread all over and therefore, even in Covid they made their profits in fact paradoxically during covid and post covid through their multiple FIIs they ended up buying stocks of distress sales.

 Vikram Sood (fmr. R&AW chief) has written in depth regarding how the Deep State works in his book and he has also talked about the same in one of the conversations in Resonant News YT Channel

 

 

A really good example of how politically motivated regulations impact macroeconomics will be the recent EU's decision on CBAM (Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism) where the amount of carbon emissions are taken into account before allowing a product to enter Europe's market is an indirect attack on the manufacturing of Developing nations and thereby on their economies.

 

The West which is the major polluter wants to export their responsibility by blaming it on the developing countries (Modem day colonialism). 

 

This imperialist attitude is bound to have an impact on the developing economies in Asia, which are also developing into  power-centres.

 

It is high time that the west acknowledges that Multilateralism can exist only in a multi-polar world and not in an unipolar or bi-polar world.

 

I have read some of them on the advice of my friend and professor of economics one Nandakumar from Vivekananda college.

Again, like any other subject one can choose from a buffet of books and authors based on the perspective from which one wants to read economics.

 

Great books for casual reading:


1. Freakonomics and SuperFreakonomics, I would recommend his book think like a freak too  His book is great for starters and freaks out in appeal.


2. Naked Economics, as the title suggest it really undresses the darker sides of this science.

3. "Nudge" by Richard H. Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein - behavioural economics and how it can be used to encourage people to make better decisions.


4. "Thinking, Fast and Slow" by Daniel Kahneman - Psychology behind decision making and how it affects economic behaviour.


5. "The Shock Doctrine" by Naomi Klein - History of neoliberal economic policies and their impact on societies around the world.

6. The Undercover Economist – leads to practical methods of pricing and marketing .


7. Irrational Exuberance and Predictably Irrational – more about  behavioural economics.


8. The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness and A Random Walk Down Wall Street- all about randomness.

9. Capital in the Twenty-First Century too verbose typical of French authors.


10.. An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations


11. Economics in One Lesson-short and sweet one.


12. The Firm, the Market, and the Law eBook: R. H. Coase


13 "The Wealth of Nations" by Adam Smith – Teaches the basic  principles of free market capitalism.


14. "The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money" by John Maynard Keynes - This book laid the foundation for Keynesian economics, which emphasizes government intervention in the economy during times of recession.


15. "The Road to Serfdom" by Friedrich Hayek - This book is a critique of government intervention in the economy and argues for a free market approach.



One Economics professor says. “ it is  a complicated subject that cannot be studied by reading just a couple of textbooks. A number of micro-economic and micro-economic factors come into the picture when making an economic assessment. Economic trends play an important part in planning the budget for market verticals like finance, politics, law, business, healthcare, education, etc. Plus, these trends keep on changing every year.


I would recommend that you read the below-mentioned books to understand the depth of the subject:


Other People's Money by John Kay


Economic Facts and Fallacies by Thomas Sowell


The Everything Economics Book: From Theory to Practice, Your Complete Guide to Understanding Economics Today


The Globalization of Inequality by François Bourguignon, Trans Thomas Scott-Railton

 
The General Theory of Employment Interest and Money by John Maynard Keynes


GDP: A Brief But Affectionate History by Daniel Coyle



Economics by Paul A Samuelson




"Microeconomics"
 by Paul Krugman and Robin Wells: An accessible and well-regarded textbook that covers microeconomic principles and applications."The Theory of the Firm" by Ronald H. Coase: A seminal work exploring the nature and behavior of firms in market economies.




"Macroeconomics" by N. Gregory Mankiw: A widely used textbook that provides a comprehensive introduction to macroeconomic theory and policy."This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly" by Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff: A historical exploration of financial crises and the patterns of economic behavior over centuries.




"International Economics" by Paul Krugman and Maurice Obstfeld: A renowned textbook covering international trade and finance.

"Globalization and Its Discontents" by Joseph E. Stiglitz: A critical examination of the effects of globalization on developing economies and global economic governance.


 Behavioural Economics:

"Thinking, Fast and Slow" by Daniel Kahneman: Though not solely an economics book, this work by a Nobel laureate delves into the psychological aspects of decision-making and their implications for economic behavior.

 

Monetary economics

"The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World" by Niall Ferguson: An engaging exploration of the evolution of money, banking, and finance.


 Development Economics

"Poor Economics: A Radical Rethinking of the Way to Fight Global Poverty" by Abhijit V. Banerjee and Esther Duflo: The authors, both Nobel laureates, examine poverty through rigorous economic analysis and offer innovative solutions."

 

The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries are Failing and What Can Be Done About It" by Paul Collier: An examination of the challenges faced by the world's poorest countries and potential strategies for development.


Finance and Investing

"The Intelligent Investor" by Benjamin Graham: A classic guide to value investing, emphasizing the importance of fundamental analysis and a disciplined approach to investing.

"Capital in the Twenty-First Century" by Thomas Piketty: This influential book delves into

The Big Questions, by Steven Landsburg
Spin-Free Economics, by Nariman Behravesh
Economic Gangsters, by Raymond Fisman and Edward Miguel
Lives of the Laureates, by William Breit and Barry T. HirschThe Price of Everything, by Russell Roberts
The Armchair Economist, by Steven Landsburg
Basic Economics (Thomas Sowell)
Free To Choose (Milton Friedman)

The Forgotten Man (Amity Shlaes)


For a general understanding of economic philosophy:
Economics in One Lesson - Henry Hazlitt
For History of economic thought:
A History of Economics - JK Galbraith
The Worldly Philosophers - Robert Heilbroner
Economic Theory in Retrospect - Mark Blaug
For History of money, banking, and financial markets:
The Ascent of Money - Niall Ferguson
After The Music Stopped - Alan S Blinder
For general applications and scope of economics:
Economics Rules - Dani Rodrik
Applied Economics: Thinking Beyond Stage one - Thomas Sowell
For Game Theory, Strategy, and wider applications:
Thinking Strategically - Avinash Dixit and Barry Nalebuff
For Development Economics:
Development Economics - Debraj Ray
The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origins of Inequality - Angus Deaton
Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity and Poverty - James A. Robinson and Daron Acemoglu
The Economics of Poverty: History, Measurement and Policy - Martin Ravallion
For Trade and Globalization:
Globalization and Its Discontent - Joseph Stiglitz
In Defense of Globalization - Jagdish Bhagwati
The World that Trade Created - Kenneth Pomeranz, Steven Topik


For Indian Economy
An Economic History of India - Dietmar Rothermund (pre-colonial to 1991)
India's Political Economy, 1947-2004 - Francine Frankel (post-independence to 2004)
The Indian Economy: A Macroeconomic Perspective - Nilanjan Banik (modern day analysis)
Things They Don’t Tell You About Capitalism by Ha-Joon Chang.
Animal Spirits by Akerlof and Shiller .


https://www.bookscrolling.com/the-best-economics-books-of-all-time/

 

 


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